Doubling out calculation
Doubling out calculation
The following image is for a 'beginning' thrower, whose throw
I model with a gaussian derivative random number generator.
The Full Width at Half Max for the throw is the radius of
the dart board. For non-science types, that roughly means most darts
thrown at the bull will land within the triple ring.
What is plotted is the percentage of three dart throws that
will result in a doubling out score. Anything which hits the
board, but does not win, is considered a bust. For simplicity,
I'm only considering the double 1.
According to this calculation, even beginning throwers should
aim straight for the ring. The better chance of hitting the
double outweighs the increased chance of busting.
e-mail me at djoiner@shodor.org,
or return to my homepage.