Probability: Playing with Fire Lesson Plan


Students use probability to determine how likely it is for each tree in a small forest to catch on fire.

Standards (NCTM 3-5)

Data Analysis and Probability

Develop and evaluate inferences and predictions that are based on data Understand and apply basic concepts of probability Student Prerequisites Teacher Preparation

Students will need: Lesson Outline

  1. Focus and Review
  2. Review the difference between experimental and theoretical probability.

  3. Objectives
  4. Students will be able to model possible outcomes of the controlled burning of a forest both by hand and by using computer applets.

  5. Teacher Input
  1. Guided Practice
  1. Independent Practice
  1. Closure